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Update: PhD student Yusu Wang received an honorable mention in the Student Poster Awards for their poster “When More is Not Better: Financial Constraints Jeopardize Sustainability by Increasing Preferences for Quantity Over Quality.” Congratulations, Yusu! 


The 42nd Annual Society for Judgment and Decision Making Conference will be held virtually February 10-12, 2022, and scholars from the Center for Decision Research will once again play a significant role in the annual conference. The work of CDR-affiliated researchers will be featured in 15 paper presentations and 16 posters, with contributions from more than three dozen CDR faculty members, principal researchers, PhD students, and staff. 

In addition, Associate Professor Abigail Sussman, SJDM's incoming president for 2023, served as co-chair of the conference's program committee. 

Learn more about the sessions featuring CDR research below. Note: Due to space constraints, only CDR-affiliated authors are listed. Please see the conference program for a full list of co-authors. 

 

Paper Presentations

Note: Times below are listed in EST. 

Thursday, February 10

9:30 am - 10:30 am

  • “Not All Experts Are Equal: Advice-Seekers Favor Experts with Direct over Vicarious Experience” - Ed O'Brien
  • “Do Startup Investors Make Systematic Mistakes in Selecting Investments? A Machine Learning Approach”-Diag Davenport 

10:45 am - 11:45 am

  • “Choosing the Light Meal: Real-time Aggregation of Calorie Information Reduces Meal Calories” - Andras Molnar
  • “The Language of Apologies in Responses to Customer Reviews” – Shereen Chaudhry & Akshina Banerjee
  • “The Influence of Mean Product Ratings on Perceived Helpfulness of Reviews” - Daniel Katz & Daniel Bartels

1:15 pm - 2:15 pm

  • “Everyday Emotions and Economic Preferences Around the Globe” - Oleg Urminsky

Friday, February 11

10:45 am - 11:45 am

  • “Beyond Food and Entertainment: The Effect of Budgeting Taxonomy” - Lin Fei & Daniel Bartels
  • “Preferences for Price Complexity in Market Settings” - Abigail Sussman

1:15 pm - 2:15 pm

  • “A Quasi-Experiment Evaluating the Impact of Large-Scale, High-Payoff Regret Lotteries” - Devin Pope & Richard Thaler
  • “When to Use Markets, Lines, and Lotteries: How Beliefs About Preferences Shape Beliefs About Allocation” - Anuj Shah

2:30 pm - 3:30 pm

  • “The Trap of the Gap: People Seek to Salvage Lost Time by Holding Out for Higher Value” -  Ed O'Brien
  • “Pennies and nickels and dimes, oh my!: Understanding saving and spending in childhood” - Margaret Echelbarger

Saturday, February 12

9:30 am - 10:30 pm

  • “Choice Delegation Over Time” - Minkwang Jang & Oleg Urminsky
  • “Impossible Expectations for the Poor” – Anuj Shah
  • “Can’t Wait to Lose: The Desire for Goal Closure Increases Impatience to Incur Costs”- Annabelle Roberts, Alex Imas, and Ayelet Fishbach

 

Posters

Friday, February 11

9:30-10:30am

  • “When More is Not Better: Financial Constraints Jeopardize Sustainability by Increasing Preferences for Quantity Over Quality” (Student Poster Award honorable mention) - Yusu Wang & Abigail Sussman
  • “Asymmetric Variety Seeking in Hierarchical Choices” - Akshina Banerjee & Yuji Winet
  • “Price Expectations and Spontaneous Opportunity Cost Consideration” - Nicholas Herzog & Daniel Bartels
  • “Relevance Insensitivity to the Start Leads to Biased Outcome Predictions” - Christopher Hsee 
  • “The Benefits of Getting Perspective: Recipients Prefer Requested Gifts, So Why are Givers Reluctant to Ask?” - Margaret Echelbarger & Nicholas Epley
  • “Reason Based Defaults” - Shweta Desiraju & Berkeley Dietvorst

3:45-4:45pm

  • “Misarticulation: Theory and Evidence” - Rafael Batista & Sendhil Mullainathan
  • “How Should Time Estimates be Structured to Maximize People’s Satisfaction?” – Berkeley Dietvorst
  • “Honest Hypocrites: When and How We Learn to Value Hypocrisy” – Elizabeth Huppert, Solomon Lister, Emma Levine, Alex Shaw 
  • “Dialogue vs. Debate: Causes and Consequences of Two Approaches to Disagreement” - Kristina Wald & Jane Risen
  • “The Psychology of Asymmetric Zero-Sum Beliefs” - Russell Roberts 
  • “A Preliminary Investigation of Intuitions About Dosing: People Think Increases in Causes Produce Larger Effects than Equivalent Decreases” - Soaham Bharti & Daniel Bartels
  • “When Does Gratitude Backfire?” - Jiaqi Yu & Shereen Chaudhry
  • “The Realization Effect is Fragile in Gamblers” - Alex Imas
  • “The Masked Oleg Majority: Underprediction Of Widespread Support For Covid-19 Safety Policies.” – Oleg Urminsky
  • “Opportunity Luck: How People Allocate Rewards When Merit Was Made Possible by Luck” -  David Munguia Gomez 

 

Special Sessions

Friday, February 11

12:00-1:00pm

"Algorithms and Behavioral Science" Keynote Address by Sendhil Mullainathan

Behavioral science can improve computer science; and vice versa. First, computer science is suffering from what economics suffered from before the behavioral economics revolution: existing algorithms are "behaviorally naive", built on faulty presumptions about human psychology. The result is the bad outcomes we are seeing, such as 'addictive' technologies and algorithms that display racial and ingroup biases. Empirically, I illustrate this argument with a lab study and a large-scale audit that shows sizable ingroup bias in Facebook's largest algorithm, Newsfeed. Second, conversely, I will show how machine learning can be an aid in behavioral scientists to aid discovery. I will describe a technique by which black box algorithms can help discover novel - and importantly interpretable - hypotheses about why people do what they do. The procedure is illustrated in the case of judicial decision-making, where we algorithmically discover a new factor that influences who judges jail.

 

5:00-6:30 p.m.

Adjunct Professor David Nussbaum will present a social roundtable "Introduction to Psychgeist Media: Pitching and Writing Op-Eds" exploring a new venture to help scholars earn coverage in the popular press. 

 

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